Pay apples and risk oranges

Posted by Marc Hodak on December 16, 2009 under Reporting on pay | Read the First Comment

With the headline “Executives Enjoy ‘Sure Thing’ Retirement Plans” a pair of writers created a story about the iniquity of retirement plans for executives vs. “ordinary” workers.   But the headline is misleading.  Here is how the story actually begins:

Jacqueline D’Andrea last year lost more than 60% of the 401(k) savings she built over a decade as a Wal-Mart Stores Inc. manager, she says.  The 1.2 million employees in the retailer’s 401(k) retirement plan lost 18% as the market plunged, corporate filings show.

Top executives at Wal-Mart didn’t face such risks. Thanks to a guaranteed 6.6% return, Chief Executive Officer H. Lee Scott Jr. had gains of $2.3 million in a supplemental retirement-savings plan, bringing its total savings to $46.7 million.

But they aren’t actually comparing retirement plans; they compare a supplemental deferred compensation plan designed to provide the kind of modest returns that few people would accept for the bulk of their retirement assets to a fully invested 401k retirement plan in a year of steep stock market declines.

And that’s what happens when you have financially illiterate journalists writing for a financially illiterate audience–the opposite of education.

Here, Ms. D’Andrea had the opportunity to take the kind of risks that would allow her returns to plummet 60 percent, and she unfortunately did.  Who told her to take that risk?  Did WalMart advise their employees to be imprudent with their 401k investments?  Doubtful, given that the average WalMart employee only lost 18 percent in a year when the S&P dropped about 30 percent.  The authors probably looked hard among those 1.2 million employees to find one who lost 60 percent.

The truth is that Ms. D’Andrea’s predicament is terrible for her, but WalMart is not to blame.  She wanted the big returns, so she took the big risks, whether she was aware of the risks or not.

Mr. Scott apparently didn’t need to take those risks.  Maybe he felt that the risks in other parts of his portfolio were enough for him.  Maybe having most of his net worth tied up in $4.4 million WalMart shares that dropped about 18% was enough risk for him.  Maybe he wasn’t greedy enough to chase more returns.

Let me tell you the color of this picture

Let me tell you the color of this picture

In any case, it’s ridiculous to compare these two sets of returns.  But comparing apples to oranges is what reporters do when they know nothing about the fruit.

I guess that yesterdays’ WSJ apparently had a contest for its writers to see who could come up with the most distorted reporting on pay for the week.

  • Chris said,

    Most people wouldn’t accept 6.6% guaranteed? While this may be true, I think it speaks more to their greed than a rational analysis. Hindsight is obviously 20/20, but a constant 6.6% was hardly a pittance pre-2008.

    The rest of your commentary is spot on. I am curious about the fund or stock mix she had that lost 60%.

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