To overcome the understatement of EP created by the above treatment, the
business unit may be assigned a tax rate lower than the marginal rate.
More specifically, to better reflect the likely contribution to
corporate EP from a business unit, the business could be assigned a
flat tax rate approximately equal to the long-term effective rate of the
corporation (using either the accrued or cash taxes).
The obvious benefit is that items like tax
credits or deferred taxes would be approximately reflected in the
business's EP, painting a fairer picture of the business's
contribution to corporate EP. Also, if the business unit tax rate is
periodically adjusted to account for changes in the corporate average
effective rate, management will have some incentive to participate in
tax saving strategies. Finally, tax losses in one business can offset
profits in other businesses, making it difficult or impossible to know
if any given project will actually create a tax liability. The
stochastic nature of such an analysis makes the
"probabilistic" tax rate resemble the effective rate, or
something closer to it than to the marginal rate.
The drawbacks of this treatment are
several. First, the corporate effective rate invariably results from
certain activities in certain business units that reduce or delay tax
payments in very uneven ways. For example, foreign tax credits may be
generated by only one of several business units, or one unit may be
responsible for most accelerated depreciation creating deferred taxes.
Thus, slapping one tax rate on every business unit may distort their
relative contribution to consolidated results. Second, on most
projects the tax liability would be more than the effective rate.
Therefore, using the effective rate for analytical purposes would
distort decision making in most cases, possibly making value destroying
projects look acceptable. Finally, if the effective rate is the average
of more than two or three business units, the motivational effect of
periodically adjusting that rate to account for actual taxes will be
very weak. In such cases, any tinkering with the effective rate is more
likely to be perceived either as "goosing the numbers" or as
punitive, depending on the direction taken by the tax rate.
This alternative would be the treatment of
choice if (a) business unit management has relatively few opportunities
to make an impact in tax management and (b) the tax rate is kept
constant over time (preferably a bit on the higher side).