{"id":240,"date":"2008-05-26T15:28:55","date_gmt":"2008-05-26T23:28:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/?p=240"},"modified":"2008-05-26T15:28:55","modified_gmt":"2008-05-26T23:28:55","slug":"the-democratic-quandary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/the-democratic-quandary\/","title":{"rendered":"The Democratic quandary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Clinton or Obama?  Obama has the nomination in his pocket; even <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hodakvalue.com\/blog\/2008\/05\/godwins_law_totally_violated.html\">Hillary knows it<\/a>.  Still, the super-delegates must make their choices known, and it appears that they will be compelled to choose the most popular candidate of their party&#8211;Obama&#8211;even if he is less likely to prevail in November.<\/p>\n<p>Hillary, of course, has been arguing all along that she is more electable than Obama against McCain.  The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/\">evidence<\/a> shows that she is right:  According to polls tracked by the non-partisan electoralvote.com, Obama is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/evp2008\/Obama\/Maps\/May26.html\">barely ahead<\/a> of McCain, and neither has enough to claim an electoral majority.  Hillary Clinton versus McCain is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/evp2008\/Clinton\/Maps\/May26.html\">a lock<\/a>.  She owns every major state with over 15 electoral votes except Texas.  She could lose every toss-up state and still win the presidency.<\/p>\n<p>One can imagine the agony it must be for Hillary to know this, and yet face an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freerepublic.com\/focus\/f-news\/2020800\/posts\">almost certain<\/a> upcoming defeat in her party&#8217;s primary.  What I wonder, though, is how her party&#8217;s leaders feel about this?  They must know the numbers, too, and yet have their hands tied.  Many of them are probably telling themselves, &#8220;Screw it.  Obama will win, too.&#8221;  The <a href=\"http:\/\/iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu\/graphs\/graph_PRES08_WTA.cfm\">Iowa Electronic Market<\/a> is on their side, for now.  But that market is thin, and doesn&#8217;t necessarily reflect the best bet for the Dems.<\/p>\n<p>My choice remains:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/briansp.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/10\/cthulhu4prez.jpg\"height=\"150\" width=\"120\" border=\"0\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Clinton or Obama? Obama has the nomination in his pocket; even Hillary knows it. Still, the super-delegates must make their choices known, and it appears that they will be compelled to choose the most popular candidate of their party&#8211;Obama&#8211;even if he is less likely to prevail in November. Hillary, of course, has been arguing all [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-unintended-consequences"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hodakvalue.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}